Unit 8 Economics Study Hub

AD-AS Model, Fiscal & Monetary Policy, Multipliers

Core definitions
Aggregate Demand (AD)
Total demand for all final goods and services in the economy at different price levels. AD = C + I + G + NX. Slopes downward due to the wealth effect and interest-rate effect.
SRAS (Short-Run Aggregate Supply)
Amount firms are willing to produce at different price levels in the short run. Slopes upward. Shifts when input costs or productivity change.
LRAS (Long-Run Aggregate Supply)
Economy's potential / full-employment output. Vertical because in the long run, output depends on resources, capital, and technology — NOT on the price level.
Real GDP (RGDP)
Inflation-adjusted total output of the economy. Rises when AD or SRAS shifts right.
Price Level (PL)
The overall average level of prices across the economy. Rises when AD shifts right or SRAS shifts left.
Recessionary gap
Equilibrium RGDP is BELOW full-employment output (LRAS). Unemployment is above the natural rate. Calls for EXPANSIONARY policy.
Inflationary gap
Equilibrium RGDP is ABOVE full-employment output (LRAS). Calls for CONTRACTIONARY policy.
MPC (Marginal Propensity to Consume)
Fraction of an extra dollar of income that is SPENT. Example: MPC = 0.8 means 80¢ of every extra dollar is spent.
MPS (Marginal Propensity to Save)
Fraction of an extra dollar of income that is SAVED. MPS = 1 − MPC. Always: MPC + MPS = 1.
Fiscal policy
Government action using taxes (T), government spending (G), and transfer payments to shift AD and influence the economy.
Monetary policy
Central bank actions — buying/selling bonds, changing reserve requirements, discount rate — to change the money supply and interest rates, shifting AD.
Spending multiplier
The factor by which a change in autonomous spending (ΔG, ΔI) multiplies into a final change in GDP. = 1 / MPS.
Tax multiplier
The factor by which a tax change shifts GDP. = −MPC / MPS. Always one unit smaller in absolute value than the spending multiplier because part of the tax change is saved.
Transfer multiplier
Same absolute value as tax multiplier but POSITIVE. = MPC / MPS. Transfer increases raise GDP; decreases lower it.
Wealth effect
Higher price level erodes the real value (purchasing power) of money holdings → households feel poorer → spend less → one reason AD slopes down.
Interest-rate effect
Higher price level means people need more money for transactions → interest rates rise → investment and some consumption fall → second reason AD slopes down.
Interactive AD-AS graph
Real GDP Price Level LRAS LRAS' SRAS SRAS' AD AD' E E'
What each shift does
AD right PL rises, RGDP rises
AD left PL falls, RGDP falls
SRAS right PL falls, RGDP rises
SRAS left PL rises, RGDP falls (stagflation)
LRAS right Potential output increases
Long-run self-correction
Inflationary gap: Wages rise → SRAS shifts left → output returns to LRAS at higher PL

Recessionary gap: Wages fall → SRAS shifts right → output returns to LRAS at lower PL

Key rule: Cannot permanently keep output above LRAS — only creates ongoing inflation.
All formulas
Aggregate Demand
AD = C + I + G + NX
MPC / MPS identity
MPC + MPS = 1 → MPS = 1 − MPC
Multipliers
Spending multiplier = 1 / (1 − MPC) = 1 / MPS
Tax multiplier = −MPC / (1 − MPC) = −MPC / MPS
Transfer multiplier = MPC / (1 − MPC) = MPC / MPS
GDP change formulas
ΔGDP = ΔG × spending multiplier
ΔGDP = ΔT × tax multiplier (ΔT up → GDP down)
ΔGDP = ΔTransfers × transfer multiplier
Finding the needed policy change to close a gap
ΔG needed = gap ÷ spending multiplier
ΔT needed = gap ÷ |tax multiplier| (opposite direction)
ΔTransfers needed = gap ÷ transfer multiplier
Multiplier reference table
MPCMPSSpending multTax multTransfer mult
Key multiplier rules
G vs Tax: For the same dollar amount, government spending has a LARGER effect because every dollar of G directly enters the economy, while part of a tax cut is saved (MPS fraction).
To match G: A tax cut must be LARGER than ΔG to achieve the same ΔGDP.
Tax vs Transfer: Same absolute value multiplier, opposite sign.
MPS falls: Multiplier = 1/MPS → multiplier RISES.
Finding MPC from data
From income/spending:
MPC = Δspending / Δincome

From multiplier value M:
1/(1−MPC) = M → MPC = 1 − 1/M

Example: $40M investment → $160M GDP
M = 160/40 = 4 → MPC = 1 − 1/4 = 0.75
Cause-and-effect chains
Fiscal Expansionary fiscal policy (recessionary gap)
G risesAD rightRGDP PL unemployment
Taxes falldisposable income C risesAD rightRGDP , PL
Transfers risedisposable income C risesAD rightRGDP , PL
Fiscal Contractionary fiscal policy (inflationary gap)
G fallsAD leftRGDP PL
Taxes risedisposable income C fallsAD leftRGDP , PL
Monetary Expansionary monetary policy
Buy bonds / lower reserve req / lower discount ratemoney supply interest rates investment AD rightRGDP , PL
Monetary Contractionary monetary policy
Sell bonds / raise reserve req / raise discount ratemoney supply interest rates investment AD leftRGDP , PL
SRAS Supply shocks
Oil prices production costs SRAS leftPL RGDP stagflation
Productivity unit costs SRAS rightPL RGDP LRAS right (LR)
LRAS Long-run self-correction (inflationary gap)
Output > LRAStight labor marketwages risecosts riseSRAS leftoutput returns to LRASPL higher
LRAS Corporate tax cut — full chain
Corp tax lower costs (SR)SRAS rightPL , RGDP
Corp tax more investment (LR)capital stock LRAS rightpotential output
AD and SRAS shifter quick reference
AD shifts RIGHT
Taxes fall · Consumer confidence rises · Wealth/stock market rises · Investment rises · Government spending rises · Exports rise · Interest rates fall
AD shifts LEFT
Taxes rise · Consumer confidence falls · Stock market crashes · Consumer debt high · Investment falls · Government spending falls · Exports fall · Interest rates rise
SRAS shifts RIGHT
Oil/input prices fall · Productivity rises · Business taxes fall · Deregulation
SRAS shifts LEFT
Oil/input prices rise · Wages rise · Business taxes rise · More costly regulation
Multiplier calculator
0.8
Spending multiplier
Tax multiplier
Transfer multiplier
Policy impact — how much does GDP change?
Δ = $ billion
Gap closer — how much policy is needed?
Gap = $ billion
Find MPC from a scenario
Δincome = $ Δspending = $